Concepts
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The Precautionary Principle: When does it apply?
Or: Should you really never change a working system? Given an innovation whose future positive and negative impact are uncertain, which position should be taken…
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Goodhart’s Law
When a metric becomes a goal, it ceases to be a good metric. In other words, if a system can be gamed, it will be.…
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Reversion to the Mean
Things tend to even out over time. If something is extraordinarily high or low on first measurement, it will often be closer to the mean…
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The Encyclopedia of Concepts: A collection of transferable mental tools
Expertise isn’t easily transferable. Chess grandmasters excel at chess, not International Relations, and surgeons are good at surgery, not juggling. True expertise can only arise…