Category: Forecasting
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Even Chances: AI could be good or bad, and we have no idea which is more likely
If betting or forecasting markets give even chances for two outcomes, it could either be that they are equally likely to happen, or that nobody…
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Forecasting
Yesterday, the S&P 500 closed at 5,469 points. Do you think it’s going to be higher or lower by the end of the year? You…