Methods
How to do things better. Mental tools, self-improvement, business.
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The Copernican Principle
The Copernican Principle was formulated by physicist J. Richard Gott, who when he visited the Berlin wall in 1969 asked how much longer it was…
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The Precautionary Principle: When does it apply?
Or: Should you really never change a working system? Given an innovation whose future positive and negative impact are uncertain, which position should be taken…
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Monday Notes: I’m using Wernher von Braun’s management system
For the team I manage, I’ve instituted a 60-year-old management technique. Monday notes are a system for keeping track of what everyone is working on,…
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Forecasting
Yesterday, the S&P 500 closed at 5,469 points. Do you think it’s going to be higher or lower by the end of the year? You…
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Insufficient Information
Decisions are always made with insufficient information. If you really knew what was going on, the decision would make itself. Jack McDevitt: Odyssey
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Goodhart’s Law
When a metric becomes a goal, it ceases to be a good metric. In other words, if a system can be gamed, it will be.…